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Deloitte
DLook

All analysis from category Macro comment

Macro comment

Consumer prices in August: More expensive housing, cheaper gasoline

Inflation is losing strength. For now. Last month, prices rose at the slowest pace this year. The consumer price index rose 0.4 percent month-on-month in August, while annual inflation slowed from 17.5 percent to 17.2 percent.

Macro comment

Unemployment in August: Rise again

The share of unemployed persons in the 15-64 population increased by 0.1 percentage point to 3.4% in August. 252 thousand jobseekers were registered at the labour offices, 11 thousand more than in July. Unemployment tends to be rather stagnant in August. The labour market situation thus deteriorated slightly in August (according to our estimate, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased from 3.4% to 3.5%).

Macro comment

Retail in July: Households are forced to continue saving

Due to the energy crisis, households have to continue to reduce consumption, which is being reflected in retail figures. Declines have been seen in most industries and with high inflation, a change in behaviour cannot be expected in the near term.

Macro comment

Trade balance in July: still in deficit

In July, the balance of foreign trade exhibited a deficit of CZK 22.8 billion, a year-on-year deterioration of CZK 12.4 billion. The cumulative deficit for the first 7 months already exceeds CZK 100 billion. Exports were relatively buoyant with growth of 10.2% y-o-y, but imports grew by 13.8%.

Macro comment

Industry in July: Continued stagnation despite improvement in the automotive sector

Industrial production continues to stagnate thanks to the automotive sector, which is showing strong growth. However, this is due to a low comparative base. Most other industries have shown a year-on-year decline and this will continue due to the drop in demand related to the energy crisis.