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All analysis from category Macro comment

Macro comment

Unemployment in July: slight deterioration in conditions

July typically sees a slight increase in unemployment due to graduates entering the labor market, and this year is no different. The unemployment rate among the population aged 15–64 rose by 0.2 percentage points month-on-month to 4.4 percent in July.

Macro comment

CNB: Cautious waiting and optimistic forecast

At its August meeting, the Bank Board decided to leave interest rates unchanged. The main repo rate remained at 3.5%, reflecting the optimistic GDP forecast and continued elevated inflation in services.

Macro comment

Retail in June: household consumption continues unabated

Retail sales in June grew year-on-year for the nineteenth month in a row, and thanks to growth in real household incomes, a similar trend can be expected in the second half of the year.

Macro comment

Industry in June: significant slowdown in growth

Industrial production grew for the fifth consecutive month in June compared to the same month last year, but the pace of growth slowed significantly and problems from abroad are beginning to be reflected in hard data.

Macro comment

Foreign trade in June: Revival of domestic demand and higher oil prices

Exports and imports have been rising this year thanks to a slight improvement in the economic situation in the euro area and a recovery in domestic demand. The latter factor is slightly stronger, which is why the trade surplus has narrowed this year. Exports increased by 7.4 per cent year-on-year in June, imports rose by 9.2 per cent and foreign trade reached a surplus of CZK 26.3 billion.